Currently, the U.S. marches towards war with China over Taiwan, and perhaps with Russia over Ukraine. To be clear, this is not war to protect the homeland. These will be wars to protect markets, to expand U.S. foreign investments, and more broadly to perpetuate American ideological assumptions.
As the world marches towards war, most of us sit on our hands, wonder and wait. Perhaps, like most Americans, we are too busy producing and consuming to pay much attention; perhaps we are fatalistic, resigned to a seemingly inevitable fate; perhaps we don’t speak-out for fear the security state will squash us; or perhaps we fear being unprepared for confrontation in a dangerous world. It is the latter which will be addressed here. Fear drives us towards war. Fear is the opposite of faith, and only faith can save us from war. What is faith? Faith in what?
To quote from St. Paul: “faith is the substance of things hoped-for, the evidence of things not seen” (Hebrews 11:1). We need a collective faith in the possibility that the best within us can reign. We need to believe that most people, regardless of nationality or class affiliation, desire to avoid war. Fear–a lack of faith, is that which drives us towards war. Fear of our international competitors causes us to increase military budgets, our military positioning, and our willingness to go to war. The consequent fear among our perceived opponents inspires a likewise reaction and the cycle of potential violence continues. Fear is a concession to a power perceived greater than the power of our faith to achieve the best within us. War, for many, is a concession to fear. To avoid catastrophic war, fear must be replaced with faith. Only a collective faith can save us.
U.S. Admiral Philip Davidson has predicted a potential Chinese invasion of Taiwan within 6 years. U.S. Army General and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Mark Miley stated at the recent Aspen Security Forum that he did not expect China to invade Taiwan within the next two years–a clear indication of a potential Chinese invasion sometime thereafter. Hearings before the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission, a commission established in the year 2000 to examine the relation between the two nations, reveals vast U.S. planning for war with China over Taiwan. Meanwhile the U.S., the U.K., and others, threateningly float warships between Taiwan and mainland China, a one hundred mile wide strait, which would be the near equivalent of China floating warships within the 90 miles which separate the U.S. from Cuba. It has recently been revealed there are a couple dozen U.S. military personnel on the Taiwanese island training Taiwanese soldiers in preparation for a Chinese assault. The U.S. is rapidly forming new alliances to counter the Chinese “threat” and will be building-up military bases in Guam and Australia to support these efforts.
Taiwan is the world’s leading producer of semiconductors necessary for much U.S. manufacturing, consumer electronics, and other items of consumption. The global supply shortage of semiconductors makes Taiwan a critical link in the global supply chain which provides incentives for both the U.S. and China to exert control over this market. All of the above points towards war with China: it is clear that military conflict between Taiwan and China would involve the U.S. military and could quickly escalate into a major confrontation between the two nuclear armed powers.
Meanwhile, tensions continue to escalate with Russia over Ukraine. The U.S. has three warships in the Black Sea which borders Russia and is increasingly committing arms to Ukraine. The U.K. has committed 600 troops to Ukraine in the event war breaks out between Russia and Ukraine. Recently tensions flared between Russia and NATO over the border between Russia aligned Belarus and Poland where, until recently, migrants attempting to cross into Poland were trapped in the cold, many without blankets, some without shoes, some died, most fleeing the devastation of U.S. and allied wars in the Middle East and North Africa: wars in close proximity to both China and Russia, while we claim the Russians and the Chinese are the aggressors in the region.
It seems certain war will occur between the U.S. and these nuclear powers unless the people demonstrate en masse against the potential for war. There are certainly those in both China and Russia who are equally horrified by the prospect of war between the nuclear armed powers. An antiwar movement in the U.S. would provide space for similar movements in China and Russia. Competition for favorable global perceptions, in the face of a U.S. anti-war movement, would require restraint in both China and Russia against anti-war movements in their own nations. Without an anti-war movement in the U.S., the governments of both China and Russia would more harshly squash anti-war movements within their own nations so as to not lose relative competitive positions. Anti-war movements here will inspire anti-war movements elsewhere.
Anti-war movements across the nations would relieve some within the ruling elite from the inevitable march towards war. Surely, there are those within ruling circles who would also like to avoid war, but feel compelled to participate in the march towards war, out of a genuine belief that only military superiority will prevent economic submission or an ideological takeover. There is simply a lack of faith in an alternative path. This must change.
The anti-war movement must be a large effort and we must all get involved. Now is the time to speak-out, organize, join ongoing efforts, demonstrate faith in the power of the people to alter the course of history. To do otherwise is to sacrifice our children, due to our lack of faith in the potential goodness within humankind, to the power of war. Resist war to protect the soldier, resist war to protect the world from nuclear destruction–no matter the promised limits, resist war because it is the right thing to do. Have faith, “fear not”.